Biggest payout of my life! Took down that LP5 @BelmontStakes today! This includes first time starters. Our top Pace number will be in either the 1st or 2nd position at the first call 72.5% of the time. Our top win percentage horse wins 32.9% of the time.<\/p>\n
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For any given horse, you can see the best available price highlighted, and the difference between the best and worst price is often two or three points of odds \u2014 the difference between 7\/1 and 5\/1 on the same horse in the same race. It does not require you to do anything special \u2014 just take an early price on a race where BOG is offered. Unlike free bets, which come with qualifying conditions and wagering requirements, BOG applies to every qualifying bet you place. A few bookmakers restrict BOG to races shown on ITV or feature meetings, excluding the smaller afternoon cards where drifts are more common. That means BOG triggers on a meaningful proportion of bets, and the average uplift when it does trigger is typically between half a point and two full points of odds. Research on UK racing suggests that around 35 to 40 per cent of runners drift to a higher SP than their morning price.<\/p>\n
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It varies by operator, by race type, and by the time of day. If Bookmaker A is running a 115 per cent book on a race and Bookmaker B is running a 125 per cent book, Bookmaker A is systematically offering better value across the entire field. The 120 per cent book means the prices across the entire field are compressed, which means every price is slightly lower than it should be in a fair market. A significant share of that GGY exists because punters accept worse odds than they need to.<\/p>\n
The bookmaker margin is built into every price, but how wide that margin is varies enormously between operators, between race types, and between the fixed-odds market and the betting exchange. Horse Racing Odds Comparison \u2014 More on this topic at horse racing bookmakers. Yet the majority of bettors place their bets with whichever app they last used, at whatever price happens to be on screen, without checking whether a better number is available elsewhere. @ScottyPick6 Scotty thank you so much for the winnings from the Saturday webinar.<\/p>\n
On horses that drift \u2014 less money than expected, price lengthening \u2014 BOG gives you the benefit of the higher SP. On horses that are supported in the market \u2014 money coming in, price shortening \u2014 BOG adds nothing, because the SP is lower than the price you took. Best Odds Guaranteed is one of the most powerful tools available to horse racing punters, and it is routinely undervalued.<\/p>\n
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The value of BOG depends on how much Starting Prices drift from the early prices. That decline puts pressure on bookmakers to attract and retain bettors. It is a one-way ratchet in the punter\u2019s favour \u2014 a free option on upward price movement with no downside risk. Check the exchange price on your selection before placing with a bookmaker. When should you use the exchange, and when should you use a bookmaker? There is a subtlety that experienced exchange users understand and newcomers often miss.<\/p>\n